Martin P. Hoerling

NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center
R/CDC1
325 Broadway
Boulder, CO 80305-3328



Work phone: (303) 497-6165
Fax: (303) 497-6449
Email: Martin.Hoerling@noaa.gov

EDUCATION:

Ph.D. 1987 (Meteorology) University of Wisconsin
M. S. 1982 (Meteorology) University of Wisconsin
B. S. 1980 (Meteorology) University of Wisconsin

POSITIONS:

1999-present

Meteorologist, NOAA/CDC, Department of Commerce
Boulder, Colorado

  • Project Leader on Seasonal-to-Internanual Research.
  • Decadal climate variability and climate change.
  • 1989-1999 Research Associate, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado.
  • Climate variability and the role of air-sea interactions.
  • General circulation modeling of the atmospheric response to tropical sea surface temperature anomalies.
1987-1989

Research Associate, Space Science and Engineering Center,
University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin.

  • Climate variations related to tropical diabatic forcing.
  • Diagnosing diabatic heating and its role in climate.
  • Stratospheric-tropospheric exchange
1987-1988 Lecturer, Department of Meteorology, University of Wisconsin,
Madison, Wisconsin.
1983-1987 Research Assistant, Doctoral Student, Department of Meteorology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin. Ph.D. awarded May, 1987, thesis titled "The global balance of dynamic vorticity in relation to heat sources and sinks".

GRANT AWARDS, and SERVICE

2002-present Editor, Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society
2002-2004 PI, NASA Grant Award - Ocean, Ice, and Climate
2001-2003 PI, NOAA's Climate and Global Change Grant Award - CLIVAR-Pacific
2000-2001 PI, NOAA's Climate and Global Change Grant Award - CLIVAR Atlantic
1998-2000 PI, NOAA's Climate and Global Change Grant Award - PACS Program
1997-2001 PI, NOAA's Climate and Global Change Grant Award - GOALS Program
1994-1996 PI, NOAA's Climate and Global Change Grant Award - TOGA Program
1991-1993 Co-Principal Investigator, NOAA's EPOCS Grant Award

PRINCIPAL REFEREED JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS

Hoerling, M. P., T. K. Schaack and A. J. Lenzen, 1991: Global objective tropopause analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 1816-1831.

Hoerling, M. P., M. L. Blackmon and M. Ting, 1992: Simulating the atmospheric response to the 1985-87 El Niño cycle. J. Climate., 5, 665-682.

Hoerling, M. P., 1992: Diabatic sources of potential vorticity in the general circulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 2282-2292.

Hoerling, M. P., T. K. Schaack and A. J. Lenzen, 1993: A global analysis of stratospheric-tropospheric exchange during northern winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 162-172.

Ting, M., and M. P. Hoerling, 1993: Dynamics of stationary wave anomalies during the 1986/87 El Niño. Climate Dynamics, 9, 147-164.

Hoerling, M. P., L. Sanford, and J. Hurrell, 1993: Diagnosis and sensitivity of the wintertime 200mb circulation in NCAR CCMs. NCAR Tech. Report, NCAR/TN-394+STR, Boulder, CO., 68 pp.

Hoerling, M. P., and M. Ting, 1994: On the organization of extratropical transients during El Niño. J. Climate, 7, 745-766.

Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1995: Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 335-345.

Hoerling, M. P., M. Ting, and A. Kumar, 1995: Zonal flow-stationary wave relationship during El Niño: Implications for seasonal forecasting. J. Climate, 8, 1838-1852.

Kumar, A., M. P. Hoerling, M. Ji, A. Leetmaa, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 1996: Assessing a GCM's suitability for making seasonal predictions. J. Climate, 9, 115-129.

Ting, M., M. P. Hoerling, T.-Y. Xu, and A. Kumar, 1996: Northern Hemisphere teleconnection patterns during extreme phases of the zonal mean circulation. J. Climate, 9, 2614-2623.

Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1997: Interpretation and implications of observed inter-El Niño variability. J. Climate, 10, 83-91.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 1997: Why do North American climate anomalies differ from one El Niño event to another? Geophys. Res. Lett, 24, 1059-1062.

Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, and M. Zhong, 1997: El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. J. Climate, 10, 1769-1786.

Peng, S., W. A. Robinson, and M. P. Hoerling, 1997: The modeled atmospheric response to midlatitude SST anomalies and its dependence on background circulation states. J. Climate, 10, 971-987.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 1997: Origins of extreme climate states during the 1982-83 ENSO winter. J. Climate, 10, 2859-2870.

Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1998: On the specification of regional SSTs in AGCM simulations. J. Geophy. Res., 8901-8907.

Kumar, A, and M. P. Hoerling, 1998: Annual cycle of Pacific/North American seasonal predictability associated with different phases of ENSO. J. Climate, 11, 3295-3308.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 2000: Understanding and Predicting Extratropical Teleconnections Related to ENSO. Chapter 2 (pp 57-88) in "El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multi-scale Variability, and Global and Regional Impacts [eds. H. Diaz and V. Markgraf], Cambridge University Press, 496pp.

Kumar, A, and M. P. Hoerling, 2000: Analysis of a conceptual model of seasonal climate variability and implications for seasonal prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 255-264.

Ting, M., M. P. Hoerling, T. Xu, and A. Kumar, 2000: Reply to Comments on "Northern Hemisphere teleconnections patterns during extreme phases of the zonal-mean circulation". J. Climate, 13, 1040-1043.

Kumar, A, A. Barnston, P. Peng, M. Hoerling, and L. Goddard, 2000: Changes in ths spread of the seasonal mean atmospheric states associated with ENSO. J. Climate, 13, 3139-3151.

Kumar, A., A. G. Barnston, and M. P. Hoerling, 2000: Seasonal predictability, probabilistic verifications, and ensemble size. J. Climate, 14,1671-1676.

Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, and T.-Y. Xu, 2001: Robustness of the nonlinear atmospheric response to opposite phases of ENSO. J. Climate, 14, 1277-1293.

Kumar, A, W. Wang, M. P. Hoerling, A. Leetmaa, and M. Ji, 2001: The sustained North American warming of 1997 and 1998. J. Climate, 14, 345-353.

Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, J. S. Whitaker, and W. Wang, 2001: The midlatitude warming during 1998- 2000. Geophys. Res. Letters, 28, 755-758.

Hoerling, M. P., J. Hurrell, and T. Xu, 2001: Tropical origins for North Atlantic climate change. Science, 292, 90-92.

Chen, P., M. P. Hoerling, and R. M. Dole, 2000: On the origin of summertime subtropical anticyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1827-1835.

Bates, G. T., M. P. Hoerling, and A. Kumar, 2001: Central US Springtime precipitation extremes: Teleconnections and relationships with sea surface temperatures. J. Climate, 14, 3751-3766.

Diaz, H. F., M. P. Hoerling, and J. K. Eischeid, 2001: ENSO variability, teleconnections, and climate change. Int. J. Climatol., 21, 1869-1886.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 2002: Atmospheric response patterns associated with tropical forcing. J. Climate, 15, 2184-2203.

Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, The nature and causes for the delayed atmospheric response to El Niño. J. Climate, 16, 1391-1403.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 2003: Seasonal and interannual weather prediction. In Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, J. R. Holton, J. Pyle, and J. A. Curry (Eds.), Academic Press, 2562-2567.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 2003: The perfect ocean for drought. Science, 299, 691-694.

Hurrell J.W., M. P. Hoerling, A. Phillips, and T. Xu, 2003: Twentieth Century North Atlantic climate change. Part I: Assessing determinism. Climate Dyn., (submitted).

Hoerling M.P., J. W. Hurrell , T. Xu , G. T. Bates, and A. Phillips, 2003: Twentieth Century North Atlantic climate change. Part II: Understanding the effect of Indian Ocean warming. Climate Dyn., (submitted).


ORAL PRESENTATIONS AT CONFERENCES AND WORKSHOPS (since 1997)

Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, and M. Zhong, 1997: El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. Seventh AMS Conference on Climate Variations, Feb. 2-7 1997, Long Beach, CA., American Meteorological Society.

Hoerling, M. P., 1997: Global teleconnections during El Niño. NCAR Summer Colloquium: "El Niño/Southern Oscillation: Atmospheric, Oceanic, Societal, Environmental, and Policy Perspectives", Sponsored by the NCAR Advanced Studies Program and ESIG (Organized by M Glantz], July 20-Aug. 1 1997.

Hoerling, M. P., J. Whitaker. and A. Kumar, 1997: Seasonally varying teleonnection linked to ENSO. Proceedings of the 22nd Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop, Oct. 20-24 1997. Berkley, CA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Kumar, A, and M. P. Hoerling, 1998: Seasonal predictability and the amplitude of tropical SST forcing. Ninth AMS Symposium on Global Change, Jan. 12-17 1998, Phoenix, AZ., American Meteorological Society.

Hoerling, M. P., 1998: El Niño: Colorado Impacts. Graduate School Symposium on El Niño, University of Colorado-Boulder, Jan. 20, 1998 [J. Peterson, organizer].

Hoerling, M. P., 1998: What to expect from an extreme La Niña....the opposite of the effect from an extreme El Niño. Proceedings of the 15th Annual Pacific Climate Variations Meeting, Apr. 20- 23, 1998. Santa Catalina Island, CA.

Kumar, A., M. Hoerling, and J. Hurrell, 1998: Linear and nonlinear extratropical response to ENSO. The GCIP Mississippi River Climate Conference, Jume 8-12. 1998; St. Louis, MO.

Hoerling, M. P., G. Bates, A. Kumar, J. Hurrell, and N. Graham, 1998: Was the 1988 US Drought predictable one season in advance? The GCIP Mississippi River Climate Conference, Jume 8- 12, 1998; St. Louis, MO.

Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, G. Bates, J. Hurrell, and N. Graham, 1988: Assessing El Niño's impact on summertime US rainfall. The GCIP Mississippi River Climate Conference, Jume 8-12. 1998; St. Louis, MO.

Hoerling, M. P., J. Whittaker, A. Kumar, and T. Xu, 1998: Evidence for a spatially fixed extratropical response to low frequency tropical forcing. GFDL-Universities Consortium Meeting, Princeton, N. J, 8-10 July, 1998.

Whitaker, J., M. P. Hoerling, T. Xu, and A. Kumar, 1998: Dynamics of the spatially fixed extratropical response to low frequency tropical forcing. GFDL-Universities Consortium Meeting, Princeton, N. J, 8-10 July, 1998.

Hoerling, M. P., 1998: Is there symmetry between the physical impacts of El Niño and La Niña? Oral presentation at "A Review of the Causes and Consequences of Cold Events: A La Niña Summit". Sponsored by the United Nations University and the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO [Organizer, M. Glantz] 15-17 July, 1998. Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, and T. Xu, and J.

Hurrell, 1999: Tropical forcing of the PNA and North Atlantic Oscillation. GFDL-Universities Consortium Meeting, Boulder, CO, 17-18 June 1999.

Kumar, A, and M. P. Hoerling: 1999: Atmospheric response to extratropical SST anomalies in different atmospheric GCMS. Workshop on Extratropical SSTs, Boulder CO, 14-16 June, 1999.

Kumar, A., M. P. Hoerling, 1999: Atmospheric response to tropical Pacific SST forcing. GFDL- Universities Consortium Meeting, Boulder, CO, 17-18 June 1999.

Hoerling, M. P., J. Hurrell, T. Xu, 1999: Understanding decadal variations of the NAO during the 20th century. 4th International Conference on Modeling of Global Climate Change and Variability, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg Germany 13-17 September 1999.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 1999: Factors controlling decadal variations in ENSO-teleconnections and seasonal climate predictions. The 24nd Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop Nov. 5-9 1999. Tuscon, AZ., National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Hoerling, M. P., 2000: The tropics as a souce of decadal-century climate variability. Invited talk presented to NOAA's Abrupt Climate Change Panel, Tuscon, AZ., 6-7 Apr, 2000.

Hoerling, M. P., H. Diaz, and J. Eischid, 2000: Decadal variability of ENSO teleconnection over South America. International American Institute Meeting, Boulder, CO, 10-13 July, 2000.

Hurrell, J., and M. P. Hoerling, 2000: The recent trend in the NAO: A forced response to tropical warming. Meteorology at the Millenium Conference, 150th Annual Meeting of Royal Meteor. Society, England, 14 July, 2000.

Hoerling, M. P., 2000: ENSO and global warming. NCAR/ASP Summer Colloqium on "Dynamics of Decadal to Centenial Climate Variability", Boulder, CO, 17-28 July 2000.

Bates, G. T., M. P. Hoerling, and A. Kumar, 2000: The origin of Central US springtime precipitation extremes. PACS/GCIP PI Meeting, Washington, D. C., 5-8 Sept, 2000.

Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, and M. Ting, 2000: Tropically driven seasonal climate variations and their dependence on forcing. GFDL-Universities Consortium, Princeton, NJ, 20-22 Sept, 2000.

Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, J. Whittaker, and W. Wang, 2000: Origin of the midlatitude zonally symmetric warming during 1998-2000. 25th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, IRI, 23-27 October 2000.

Hoerling, M. P. J. Hurrell, and T. Xu, 2000: Tropical origins for recent North Atlantic climate change. NAO Chapman Conference, Unviersity of Vigo, Spain, 27 Nov-1 December 2000.

Hoerling, M. P., J. Hurrell, and A. Kumar, 2001: 20th century North American and European climate trends: A forced response to tropical warming. 81st Annual AMS Meeting, Albuquerque, NM, 15- 19 January 2001.

Wolter, K, M. Medovay, M. P. Hoerling, C. Woodhouse, G. Bates, J. Eischied, C. Anderson, and M. P. Clarke, 2001: Climate impacts on water supply and demand zones of the South Platte. 81st Annual AMS Meeting, Albuquerque, NM, 15- 19 January 2001.

Hoerling, M. P., 2001: Tropical origins for recent North Atlantic Climate Change. NOAA-CIRES CDC Seminar, Boulder, CO 21 February 2001.

Hoerling, M. P., 2001: Seasonal predictability assessment and new methods for seasonal prediction. IRI- Scripps Institute of Oceanography, 20-24 October 2001ARC meeting, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, 17-18 October 2001 Quan, X., M.

Hoerling, J. Whitaker, and G. Bates, 2001: A new seasonal prediction tool. 26th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, 21-25 October 2001.

Hoerling, M. P., J. Hurrell, and A. Kumar, 2001: The annular mode trend and deterministic climate change. 26th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, 21-25 October 2001.

Hoerling, M. P., and J. Hurrell, 2001: Dynamical forcing of the annular mode and its recent upward trend. American Geophysical Union Meeting:Special Symposium on the Arctic Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. 11-12 December, 2001, San Francisco, CA.

Hoerling, M. P., 2002: Monthly variability of ENSO teleconnections, and the relevance for subseasonal predictability. NASA Workshop on Prospects for Improved Subseasonal Predictions, Apr 2002, Washington. D. C.

Hoerling, M. P., 2002: The separate origins for North Pacific and North Atlantic climate change since 1950 Invited seminar, GFDL, May 2002, Princeton, N. J.

Hoerling, M. P., 2002: The separate origins for North Pacific and North Atlantic climate change since 1950 Invited seminar, NWS/NCEP/CPC, May 2002, Washington, D.C.

Hoerling, M. P., 2002: The nature and causes for the delayed atmospheric response to El Niño. Seminar at the NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, May 2002, Boulder, CO.

Hoerling, M. P., and J. Hurrell, 2002: North Atlantic climate change as a response to Indian Ocean forcing. Invited Talk, American Geophysical Union Meeting:Special Symposium on Decadal North Atlantic Climate Variability, 28-3 May, 2002, Washington, D. C.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 2002: The perfect ocean for drought. 26th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, 21-25 October 2002. Quan, X., H. Diaz, and M. Hoerling, 2002: The changing Hadley Circulation since 1950. The Hadley Cell Workshop, Honolulu Hawaii, 12-15 November 2002

Hoerling, M. P., 2002: The perfect ocean for drought. Invited seminar at the University of Arizona, Tuscon, AZ., 21 November 2002.

Hoerling, M. P., 2002: Recent global drought and climate change. Invited seminar at the Atmospheric and Environmental Research Laboratoires, Lexington, MA., 14 December 2002.

Hoerling, M. P., 2003: The perfect ocean for drought. 83rd Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society. Special Session: Drought 2002- Impacts, Lessons, Management, and Policy Innovations, 10 February, 2003, Long Beach, CA.

Jain, S., and M. P. Hoerling, 2003: Multiscale hydrologic variability in western North America. 83rd Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, 12 February, 2003, Long Beach, CA.

Hoerling. M. P., and J. Eischeid, 2003: Climate variability and climate trends over the United States western region: Which will be more relevant in the 21st Century? Presentation at the 24th Summer Conference of the Natural Resources Law Center, 11-13 June 2003, Boulder, CO.

Hoerling. M. P., and J. Eischeid, 2003: Climate and the West: Past, Present, Future. Presentation at the Climate Change and the West, 13-15 June 2003, Millenium Hotel, Boulder, CO.

Hoerling, M. P., and A. Kumar, 2003: Attribution to Improve Prediction. NOAA Intra-Seasonal to Interannual Prediction Program Workshop. Silver Springs, MD, 12-13 August 2003.

Hoerling, M. P., and X. W. Quan, 2003: The predictability characteristics of the NSIPP-1 atmospheric climate model. NSIPP 2003 Science team Meeting, University of Maryland Inn and Conference Center, 3-4 September 2003.

Hoerling, M. P., 2003: The role of the oceans in 20th Century atmospheric trends: Implications for future regional climate change. Invited Seminar, September 11 2003, NOAA-CMDL, Boulder, CO.


SERVICE ACTIVITIES

FSU-COAPS Review Panel, 7-9 February 2001 (T. Busalacchi, Chair).

Los Alamos-IGPP Advisory Board, 7-9 March 2001 (Freeman Gilbert, Chair).

U.S. CLIVAR Atlantic Science Conference, Scientic Organizing Committee (D. Legler, Organizer) Conference held 12-14 June 2001 in Boulder, CO, at the NOAA Climate Diagnostics Center.

Workshop on "Regional Climate Research: Needs and Opportunities",Invited Session Chair, (R. Lai-Yung, Organizer; co-sponsored by the U.S. National Science Foundation and the U.S. Department of Energy), 2-4 April 2001 at NCAR.

Harvard University Advisory Board for Tenure Appointment in Climate Dynamics, 15 December 2002, Department of Planetary and Atmospheric Sciences.



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